Another-Commotion
0xbeec21e909b8a1a7f19f13f57df244d36d78707b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$79.65
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-31.74
Win rate
30%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?
21 shares @ 23.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$16.11
$11.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$15.69
$10.69
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$15.60
$10.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 21?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.63
$4.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 22?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.48
$4.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.7¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.66
$0.66
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 15-21?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.29
$-4.71
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$5.04Jun 19, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?$5.75Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of June 15 2026?$4.77Jun 18, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?$5.28Jun 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 21?$5.26Jun 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$5.93Jun 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?$4.64Jun 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?$6.07Jun 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?$5.98Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?$5.24Jun 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 22?$5.27Jun 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?$6.11Jun 18, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 17?$5.16Jun 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 17?$5.17Jun 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: O/U 2.5$4.99Jun 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$6.10Jun 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?$4.51Jun 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $102 Week of June 15 2026?$1.48Jun 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $360 Week of June 15 2026?$3.64Jun 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?$4.46Jun 17, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.