Another-Commotion
0xbeec21e909b8a1a7f19f13f57df244d36d78707b
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$65.02
Total PnL
$-32.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 56.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$9.55
$4.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$4.37
$0.37
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$3.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$2.044h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?$1.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$2.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.046h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$1.046h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.027h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.057h ago
- REDEEMWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$4.611d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$1.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$2.021d ago
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Lightning$2.331d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".