Negligible-Necessity
0xbef6bed8f617a7f7213eb83c938472222f2a4645
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$108.95
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 22?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$56.05
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 15?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$25.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on June 2?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$22.82
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on June 2?$22.80May 31, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 22?$56.00Apr 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 15?$25.00Apr 14, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$16.03Apr 1, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$24.02Mar 31, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$24.00Mar 26, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$28.03Mar 19, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C or below on March 18?$26.00Mar 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C or below on March 18?$25.97Mar 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$28.00Mar 12, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 9, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$6.04Mar 4, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$16.00Mar 3, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$15.03Feb 28, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$6.00Feb 26, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$74.37Feb 24, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$15.00Feb 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$231.37Jan 29, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$699.30Jan 29, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$68.33Jan 29, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $334.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".