Dependable-Probability
0xbef9f31cd9faa3f96eb2554c536f484bc4bcfb7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$31.30
Total PnL
$-26.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$29.76
$4.76
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?
28 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-27?$28.09Feb 28, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 27?$29.52Feb 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 28, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-27?$25.00Feb 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?$28.09Feb 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?$28.74Feb 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$29.27Feb 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?$29.76Feb 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?$7.74Feb 26, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?$0.00Feb 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 27?$25.00Feb 26, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?$0.00Feb 26, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?$0.00Feb 26, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?$25.00Feb 26, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?$25.00Feb 26, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?$25.00Feb 26, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?$25.00Feb 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?$30.12Feb 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$30.49Feb 26, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $22.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.