Productive-Vampire
0xbefd9c3fc89f21d8d4e6ea67b7ee82a627b867d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$29.31
Total PnL
$1.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 51.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$9.78
$4.78
- YES
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$5.81
$0.81
- YES
Will RFK drop out before November?
3 shares @ 87.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$3.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- JAGUARS
Falcons vs. Jaguars
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$2.00
$0.50
- YES
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$1.82
$0.82
- PANTHERS
Bills vs. Panthers
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2024$1.12
$0.37
- BRONCOS
Broncos vs. Cardinals
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2024$1.07
$0.32
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Aug 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$1.00Aug 23, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK drop out before November?$1.00Aug 23, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?$1.25Aug 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Cardinals$0.75Aug 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Panthers$0.75Aug 23, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Jaguars$1.50Aug 23, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Dolphins$1.00Aug 23, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$2.00Aug 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$4.00Aug 23, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris DNC speech 30-45 minutes?$0.00Aug 23, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.00Aug 23, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beyoncé perform at the DNC?$2.35Aug 23, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift attend the DNC?$5.16Aug 23, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris DNC speech 60-75 minutes?$5.56Aug 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK drop out before November?$2.00Aug 23, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$5.00Aug 23, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 23, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$2.00Aug 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift attend the DNC?$5.00Aug 23, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".