0xbeffeea8dd9dc01593a1ba847faf449953d0e9ab
0xbeffeea8dd9dc01593a1ba847faf449953d0e9ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$562.53
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
800 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$275.92
$-4.08
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
319 shares @ 67.4¢·now 80.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$257.89
$42.89
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
17 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$14.59
$0.09
- YES
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
314 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.14
$-29.85
- OVER
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5
1157 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- OVER
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
943 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET
736 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
718 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
449 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$300.30Jun 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET$100.00Jun 20, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5$212.96Jun 20, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5$528.25Jun 20, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$100.00Jun 20, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$109.44Jun 20, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 20, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET$559.92Jun 20, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET$163.69Jun 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$109.11Jun 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$108.20Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$0.00Jun 19, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$240.83Jun 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$108.09Jun 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$527.05Jun 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$528.10Jun 19, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Qatar: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5$718.42Jun 19, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $251.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.