0xbf07fb930990f4ac0ae955932f173b5fb5031b86
0xbf07fb930990f4ac0ae955932f173b5fb5031b86
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$193.54
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-75.06
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
216 shares @ 91.9¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$186.45
$-12.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.09
$0.82
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?
3444 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-309.95
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?
1550 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-169.58
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?
379 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-222.32
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?
370 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-288.22
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?
328 shares @ 87.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-285.23
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?
53 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.76
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.