Questionable-Employment
0xbf0f3a31d4b2eaa4ba305e6a8200f68d9498e9e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$19.52
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
943 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
478 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-120.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
144 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
140 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
138 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-36.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
132 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
123 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
111 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.80Jul 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.84Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.37Jul 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.22Jul 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.19Jun 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.16Jun 23, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00May 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$20.98May 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.32May 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.27May 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.21May 13, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$36.75May 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$15.32May 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$15.22May 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$14.09May 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$3.18May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.23May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.17May 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.17May 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.80May 13, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.