Ill-Fated-Arrival
0xbf127d6ead2511eb2be3f7b45cd06c42ea710c1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$55.56Jan 18, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Jan 18, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$2.31Dec 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$6.97Dec 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$19.42Dec 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$26.66Dec 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$0.54Dec 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$0.50Dec 11, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$70.00Dec 10, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$200.00Dec 10, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMLuigi Mangione charged by Friday?$0.00Dec 10, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMLuigi Mangione charged by Friday?$50.00Dec 10, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?$8.03Dec 10, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$10.00Dec 10, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?$20.00Dec 10, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione charged by Friday?$10.94Dec 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione charged by Friday?$16.41Dec 10, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMPantoja vs. Asakura$0.00Dec 8, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAssad leaves Syria before 2025?$10.46Dec 8, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAssad leaves Syria before 2025?$10.00Dec 8, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $27.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".