Boiling-Miscommunication
0xbf13934a1fec7d3211fc15c138d84ac2a691b91a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$66.95
Total PnL
$1.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 12?
12 shares @ 34.6¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$5.40
$1.38
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 12?
5 shares @ 38.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$5.21
$3.21
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 13?
44 shares @ 9.3¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.36
$0.32
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?
7 shares @ 61.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$4.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 12?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$4.14
$3.14
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 13?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 13?
5 shares @ 55.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.73
$0.71
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 13?
7 shares @ 57.2¢·now 43.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 12?
4 shares @ 79.7¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 12?
3 shares @ 75.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.47
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on August 13?$1.06Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 13?$1.03Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 13?$1.01Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 13?$1.06Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 14?$1.00Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on August 14?$1.04Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?$1.01Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 13?$1.04Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 13?$1.05Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 13?$1.03Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 13?$1.06Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 13?$1.01Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 12?$1.03Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 12?$1.01Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 13?$1.02Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 13?$1.02Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 13?$1.04Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?$1.02Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?$1.03Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 13?$1.04Aug 12, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.