Quarterly-Crisis
0xbf1423ab0a737fb38eb683dbd3d8e36b383d986f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-434.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
124291 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
1931 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-665.70
- YES
Will Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?
1000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
145 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 50% and 52% on January 31?
135 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.40
- YES
Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
100 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$3.6KMar 28, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?$41.31Feb 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$2.9KFeb 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?$23.34Feb 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWas JFK assassination an inside job?$46.42Feb 20, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$91.75Feb 20, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$130.88Feb 20, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$5.8KFeb 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$4.0KFeb 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$201.43Feb 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$393.58Feb 20, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$5.5KFeb 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$744.72Feb 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.1KFeb 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$595.24Feb 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok on App Store again before March?$1.1KFeb 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLObama divorce in 2025?$129.22Feb 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?$390.56Feb 10, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?$119.40Feb 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?$80.85Feb 4, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $638.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.