Rigid-Stockings
0xbf1472b80cc2a7b84d3cb1c544735cb7d9d25d95
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-305.54
Realised
$118.73
Win rate
54%
156 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 6?
240 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- CHEESEBURGER
Overwatch: ONSIDE Gaming vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage
240 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 14?
237 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
198 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- NO
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?
180 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
180 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- BEATRIZ HADDAD MAIA
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- UP
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 12?
180 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.73Jul 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$0.51Jul 28, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$0.42Jul 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$0.25Jul 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$1.08Jul 28, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.52Jul 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.08Jul 28, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$1.02Jul 28, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$0.18Jul 28, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$1.26Jul 27, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$0.83Jul 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.21Jul 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.09Jul 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$0.02Jul 27, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?$2.56Jul 27, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.12Jul 27, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.42Jul 27, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?$0.45Jul 27, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.72Jul 27, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$0.72Jul 27, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 156 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
156 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 156 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.