Crafty-Emanate
0xbf1be154243edfe34d1b518a04bcd2dc0a199fba
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-137.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
666 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.33
$-7.67
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 20?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by March 31?
2205 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?
501 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$1.64Feb 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Arouca win on 2026-02-27?$1.00Feb 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTT - Women's Singles: Anna Hursey vs Man Kuai$1.00Feb 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTT - Women's Singles: Yidi Wang vs Hoi Kem Doo$1.00Feb 25, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPune: Duje Ajdukovic vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$1.00Feb 25, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya: Carole Monnet vs Panna Udvardy$1.00Feb 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.00Feb 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$10.00Feb 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 24, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$1.00Feb 24, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?$1.00Feb 24, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Feb 24, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Feb 24, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".