Pessimistic-Toad
0xbf255508cea07b72fcf13401d4e1b6e5fc3b9e10
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.72
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.72
$1.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2673 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2665 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2655 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2640 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2346 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.65Mar 24, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$2.03Mar 24, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$2.00Feb 6, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$2.01Feb 6, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?$1.01Jan 9, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 24, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".