Fixed-Rocketship
0xbf2a62fcda2b07e094e7407bf86bc1a7c08ff6b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$66.58
Total PnL
$-88.75
Realised
$-32.41
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
18 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$18.20
$2.20
- NO
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.75
$-0.01
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.48
$-0.00
- NO
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.33
$0.00
- NO
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.50
$-0.00
- NO
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.23
$0.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.36
$0.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
67 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.6KJun 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.6KJun 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.1KJun 20, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.2KJun 20, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.5KJun 20, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.6KJun 20, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.5KJun 20, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.5KJun 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.6KJun 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.6KJun 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$10.01Jun 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$5.06Jun 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.11Jun 20, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$5.7KJun 20, 09:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.3K
Trades
2
Buy share
50%
Window
Jun 20, 09:52 UTC → Jun 20, 09:48 UTC
- SELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.1K@99¢Jun 20, 09:48 UTC
- BUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.2K@99¢Jun 20, 09:47 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$10.3K
2 trades
30d volume
$10.3K
2 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$10.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.