Muffled-Incidence
0xbf3d039c09f6df58c5efbf3b8e271850d9d3864c
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
161087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-483.26
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
20567 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
20130 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-299.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
19824 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
10419 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
7113 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-995.75
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
1025 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
974 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
778 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Pepe ETF in 2025?
726 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$28.00Oct 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$30.00Oct 24, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPepe ETF in 2025?$50.00Oct 24, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$50.00Oct 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by October 31?$50.00Oct 24, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?$100.00Oct 24, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$100.00Oct 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$300.00Oct 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$300.00Oct 24, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$200.00Jul 29, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$500.00Jul 29, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$283.26Jul 29, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$33.43Jul 29, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$14.71Nov 9, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$14.71Nov 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$995.75Nov 6, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.99Nov 5, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $200.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.