Raw-Normal
0xbf4513b07da294a3479dd37ba24d124c0c3a4562
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-162.59
Realised
$-3.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
430 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
290 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?
269 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
160 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?
107 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-18.85
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 in December?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
55 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$9.60Dec 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$1.60Dec 13, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$1.52Dec 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$1.53Dec 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$3.80Dec 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December?$5.40Dec 11, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 in December?$5.40Dec 7, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in December?$5.13Dec 7, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $40 in December?$5.13Dec 7, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in December?$4.80Dec 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in December?$5.20Dec 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$0.46Dec 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025?$0.35Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.40Dec 5, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?$15.00Dec 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$12.69Dec 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.49Dec 5, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.67Dec 5, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.25Dec 5, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.91Dec 5, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.