Smug-Spot
0xbf4856cd7176c13871b5b7dee69889c3eacd79e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?
85 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2024$0.00
$-28.13
- YES
Will Switzerland win?
73 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2024$0.00
$-18.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during Michigan town hall?
52 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Ukraine win?
44 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2024$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-17.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?$17.10Sep 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during Michigan town hall?$22.00Aug 29, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?$28.13Aug 7, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?$21.38Aug 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?$18.39Jul 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win?$18.90Jul 5, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win?$24.00Jun 21, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $21.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 27, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".