Upset-Setting
0xbf4aab6eca0ce522d099673c5e288bcb2e195514
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5470 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
3544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
1499 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $480?
1240 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-632.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.8KJun 9, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$312.50May 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$102.04May 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.96Apr 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$8.90Apr 29, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.94Apr 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 in March?$0.00Apr 17, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 in March?$5.00Apr 17, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.1KApr 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in March?$4.15Mar 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.00Feb 21, 05:09 UTC
- REWARD$1.23Feb 13, 00:01 UTC
- MERGEWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$513.00Feb 12, 11:04 UTC
- SPLITWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$513.00Feb 12, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMRotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$17.4KFeb 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$11.1KFeb 10, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$1.18Jan 7, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$15.14Jan 7, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $480?$632.22Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $991.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.