Querulous-Pickax
0xbf514bd09eee5d4756d64786fca9bdc40f1b5c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-4.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (January 25)
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
28 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$2.00Jan 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (January 25)$2.00Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$2.00Jan 19, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.