Scientific-Elbow
0xbf5bf2730e1d679eb9d6ee37ef48d03959e823ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.4K
Total PnL
$143.14
Realised
$244.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
7758 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.8K
$1.2K
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
5560 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.6K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
111 shares @ 75.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$111.36
$27.33
- YES
US recession in 2025?
5448 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMBiden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? $14.8KAug 3, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?$103.34Jul 30, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?$1.2KJul 30, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next UK election be called by June 30?$16.7KJul 30, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$564.87Jul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by June 30?$2.6KJul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$3.5KJul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$4.4KJul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$10.6KJul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out before July?$192.2KJul 1, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the Canadian election?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$0.00Jun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$4.6KJun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$76.7KJun 26, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$35.0KJun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$35.1KJun 19, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $807.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.