Diligent-Undertaker
0xbf5ebe2b331da55ad655f16dfbb4d52ca0fc243e
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
15%
134 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?
2600 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-152.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?
2217 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-66.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?
1900 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-414.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
1900 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-185.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?
1849 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-301.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?
1790 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-84.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
1566 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-218.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?
1366 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-99.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?
1314 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-112.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?
1260 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.34
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.21Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$6.30Jul 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$90.29Jul 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$3.66Jul 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$91.80Jul 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$8.99Jul 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$24.49Jul 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$0.75Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$0.57Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$23.34Jul 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$52.93Jul 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$2.21Jul 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.09Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$16.11Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.10Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.11Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.86Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.13Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.45Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?$0.49Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 134 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
134 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 134 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.