Kosher-Beat
0xbf5f3fc32299d11441fd2c52b2441dbfba97e449
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-407.98
Realised
$52.48
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50 million views on day 1?
2385 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
2144 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
2100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
640 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34-38m?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60–65 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?$2.00Aug 31, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $50m or more by midnight?$5.00Aug 31, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$7.21Aug 31, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Kanye hacked?$6.40Aug 21, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?$12.00Aug 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$12.00Aug 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?$10.00Aug 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?$3.00Aug 6, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$43.11Aug 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$12.00Aug 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?$12.07Aug 3, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$6.00Aug 1, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?$1.00Aug 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?$1.00Aug 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.00Aug 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$4.00Aug 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?$4.00Aug 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?$8.00Aug 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Jul 21, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Jul 21, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".