Aromatic-Facility
0xbf61f2821b7a10f1fa3cfcf92f9a18dfee4e31bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$13.99
Total PnL
$-62.39
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.56
$-0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$0.19
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 18?
4240 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 8?
4200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 28?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 26?
1070 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?
1070 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 7?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$6.57Jul 18, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$6.57Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$6.55Jul 8, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$6.55Jul 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$6.53Jul 1, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$6.50Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$6.48Jun 21, 05:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.27Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?$1.1KMay 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22?$2.13May 22, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 14?$3.19May 14, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 6?$3.18May 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$6.13May 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 28?$2.16Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$2.15Apr 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 15?$1.1KApr 16, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 15?$1.1KApr 15, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?$1.1KApr 15, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $203.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.