Light-Bafflement
0xbf63d9376668e8dbb3cbaffe818ae1ac8066acbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.08
Total PnL
$-2.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$4.79
$2.83
- NO
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- LAKERS
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.86
$0.87
- ATHLETICS
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.79
$0.81
- KNICKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.48
$0.49
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Hornets
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00May 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.00May 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$1.00Apr 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?$1.00Apr 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-5.5)$1.00Apr 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.00Apr 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$1.00Apr 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$1.00Apr 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$1.00Apr 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$1.00Apr 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$1.00Apr 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Hornets$1.00Apr 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Lightning$1.00Apr 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Lightning$1.00Apr 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Panthers$1.00Apr 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$1.00Apr 9, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.