Gracious-Task
0xbf6b3090e324823ad3c524a72080db25fcfa8979
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$464.26
Total PnL
$-195.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$163.88
$63.88
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?
113 shares @ 48.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$112.65
$57.65
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
92 shares @ 32.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$91.90
$61.90
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
56 shares @ 58.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$56.40
$23.40
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
36 shares @ 69.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$35.80
$10.80
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.63
$-1.37
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
2097 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1521 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$10.00Dec 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$20.00Dec 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$20.00Dec 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$20.00Dec 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?$30.00Dec 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?$1.80Dec 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.54Dec 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$0.36Dec 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.30Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?$0.17Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.46Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$0.22Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?$7.63Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?$4.93Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?$6.09Dec 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rihanna release an album in 2025?$4.47Dec 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$100.00Nov 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?$25.00Nov 26, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?$25.00Nov 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$33.00Nov 26, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.