Favorite-Safe
0xbf6d4c53dc2ea4588a0db71d3c57251ed2e61bf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.01
Total PnL
$-22.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-1.79
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 28?
418 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 59°F or below on January 27?
195 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 57°F or below on January 28?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.50Feb 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Feb 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 10, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.46Feb 9, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.39Feb 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$0.95Feb 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$1.00Feb 3, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.09Feb 3, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.15Feb 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.64Feb 2, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.15Jan 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?$1.64Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?$0.51Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".