Cooperative-Calculus
0xbf773603fa1823ca6f895316d096b0c3ccd6de63
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.02
Total PnL
$-0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Fred Fleitz be next National Security Advisor?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Dec 19, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?$1.03Dec 19, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.31Dec 19, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$299.40Nov 10, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$310.00Nov 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$312.80Nov 9, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$314.12Nov 9, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$314.89Nov 9, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$316.00Nov 9, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?$1.00Sep 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Sep 26, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?$1.06Sep 26, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fred Fleitz be next National Security Advisor?$1.00May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?$1.00May 16, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trae Young lead the NBA in scoring?$1.00May 16, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$1.01May 16, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in March?$1.04May 16, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $56.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.