Noxious-Shortage
0xbf794fb99050fa3b17f109e9b19789f53b3cdece
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$574.63
Total PnL
$-935.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2381 shares @ 21.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.43
$-178.57
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
118 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$118.20
$18.20
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
115 shares @ 87.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$87.81
$-12.19
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
844 shares @ 11.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$46.43
$-53.57
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
507 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-99.24
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
16109 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-199.99
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
14064 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-199.98
- YES
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?
515 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?$151.52Mar 17, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$333.33Mar 17, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$345.19Mar 17, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$404.80Mar 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$200.00Jan 29, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$200.00Jan 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?$100.00Jan 23, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.00Jan 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$100.00Jan 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$100.00Jan 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$100.00Jan 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$100.00Jan 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$100.00Jan 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$100.00Jan 23, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$100.00Jan 23, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?$200.00Jan 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Jan 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 18, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$500.00Jan 17, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $140.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".