Dry-Campaign
0xbf90285892d393475eff5a5b106725256c1cf89c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-171.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 39.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.5K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 19.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-225.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$825.00
$104.04
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$782.00
$22.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 38.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$435.00
$-720.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
2500 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
2500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-339.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.67Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.77Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.77Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.81Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $47.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.