Obvious-Syndicate
0xbfa94d4150e71a2369771c7d16a83fae1583128c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump get 84-86m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
101 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?
55 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$81.50Feb 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$41.56Feb 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win La Liga?$0.01Nov 29, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win La Liga?$0.09Nov 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win La Liga?$0.01Nov 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$0.10Nov 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.03Nov 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.06Nov 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.06Nov 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 84-86m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.14Nov 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $0.14Nov 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$0.17Nov 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.11Nov 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.35Nov 13, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?$0.00Nov 13, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".