Scholarly-Mansard
0xbfacb35bec2f9c7289808c26926302014cd2490f
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$242.35
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-13.45
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$91.50
$11.50
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
96 shares @ 83.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.77
$3.77
- NO
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$16.05
$6.20
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 69.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.01
$4.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Psychological" or "Psychologist" or "Psychology" during WHCA Dinner events?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$12.96
$3.06
- NO
Will Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$8.88
$3.97
- NO
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$7.72
$2.80
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.18
$2.17
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.02
$-19.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$64.2610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$5.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?$5.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Psychological" or "Psychologist" or "Psychology" during WHCA Dinner events?$10.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during WHCA Dinner events?$10.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$20.0022h ago
- TRADESELLWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$22.572d ago
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$20.002d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$24.452d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$24.143d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$20.004d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$20.004d ago
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.144d ago
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$50.004d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$20.004d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$186.204d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$103.004d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$101.824d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$100.005d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $29.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.