Modest-Position
0xbfb061d630984ae00c83e1c3527f78ccd4eae51a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
282 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.94
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $2.50?
249 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.23
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
231 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top global Netflix show this week?
210 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 25?
178 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?
166 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
162 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?
160 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.79
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $510?
159 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.82
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 20 be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000?
158 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election?$177.47Apr 8, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$6.30Feb 17, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $2.50?$11.23Feb 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election?$174.10Feb 16, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Théodore Pellerin win Best Lead Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?$108.42Feb 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$2.31Feb 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 February 9-15?$2.81Feb 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top global Netflix show this week?$7.36Feb 15, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Théodore Pellerin win Best Lead Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?$103.97Feb 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $140?$199.95Feb 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 14 be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?$3.13Feb 12, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $140?$198.15Feb 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?$14.94Feb 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMAlcorn State Braves vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)$84.35Feb 9, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMColgate Raiders vs. Florida Gators$131.48Feb 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 25?$4.81Jan 21, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlcorn State Braves vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)$82.16Dec 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$10.34Dec 27, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on December 26?$84.06Dec 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?$4.21Dec 25, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $40.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".