Cruel-Thermometer
0xbfb1ee762ff639ab21ff0e4058af048341840339
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-239.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 24?
200 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-38.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3AM ET
128 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-47.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?
123 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-109.24
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 25?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 18?
36 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
10 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 23?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$11.31Mar 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$11.31Mar 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$9.25Mar 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$9.25Mar 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$8.88Mar 16, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$20.00Mar 16, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$28.89Mar 16, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$27.09Mar 16, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$27.08Mar 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$22.09Mar 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?$109.24Dec 3, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?$109.24Dec 3, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?$80.32Dec 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?$17.40Dec 2, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - November 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.60Nov 26, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $44.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.