Sticky-Programming
0xbfbeeeb1882ec0491e3ee30e9278f0345778a19e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-33.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1160 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$16.83
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 7?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.1KFeb 19, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$40.60Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$200.00Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$200.00Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$200.00Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?$200.00Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$200.00Jan 23, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$10.46Dec 23, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$186.67Nov 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$5.13Nov 6, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?$196.80Nov 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$196.20Nov 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$174.00Nov 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$192.00Nov 6, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 24?$10.20Nov 6, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 24?$10.41Nov 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 24?$10.00Oct 24, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 24?$10.00Oct 24, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$10.12Oct 24, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$10.49Oct 24, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $94.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.