Improbable-Castanet
0xbfc1165cb2e24e7d975f1f956e4c45cb80bfaea1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4280 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2136 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2136 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2136 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.03Jan 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$8.6KNov 25, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.3KNov 25, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$47.24Nov 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$23.00Nov 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$22.50Nov 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$4.2KNov 25, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.3KNov 25, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.3KNov 25, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.9KNov 25, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$249.00Nov 25, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $527.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".