Heavy-Rhetoric
0xbfc1f111972b77fce19b9f70c852e8dac6bc5fa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$16.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
7375 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?
5764 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
2365 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2200 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-265.41
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2029 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-422.36
- YES
2025 July hottest on record?
1371 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?
1117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-67.02
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
523 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.42
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
500 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.14Dec 21, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?$0.23Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.94Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$1.93Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$2.09Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.21Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?$2.96Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$3.98Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?$2.69Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.90Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLShaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?$6.73Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.42Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$9.70Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$10.00Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.43Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$16.19Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$19.00Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?$0.37Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?$0.78Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$34.17Dec 21, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $127.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".