Probable-Motion
0xbfc64b67e6bb63dbb34c7760fb60ad2b32c6644d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.58
Realised
$1.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on January 13?
50 shares @ 87.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.42
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
45 shares @ 82.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-36.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on January 12?
26 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.41
- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)$7.00Feb 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)$10.00Feb 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)$2.11Feb 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLInternational T20 Series: Canada vs Nepal (Game 1)$6.88Feb 5, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternational T20 Series: Canada vs Nepal (Game 1)$5.00Feb 5, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)$5.00Feb 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on January 13?$43.42Jan 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on January 12?$43.43Jan 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on January 12?$20.41Jan 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on January 12?$30.00Jan 12, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$36.86Jan 6, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$56.05Jan 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$50.00Jan 6, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?$15.54Jan 5, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?$38.48Jan 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 5?$50.00Jan 5, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 5?$42.02Jan 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 5?$40.00Jan 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 4?$42.52Jan 5, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 4?$40.00Jan 4, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $28.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.