Quarterly-Agenda
0xbfc8e4cb4fdbfab30c254b796515ec58862f8794
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.88
Realised
$2.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 20, 1PM ET
1319 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-13.19
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
141 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.54
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
119 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-36.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5AM ET
95 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-8.37
- NO
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
62 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4AM ET
25 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Despicable Me 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$36.93Feb 8, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$2.70Jan 9, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$2.40Jan 3, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$2.40Jan 3, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$5.41Jan 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Red Wings$7.00Dec 31, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Despicable Me 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$2.00Dec 31, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$7.00Dec 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$4.00Dec 31, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 31?$25.16Dec 31, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 31?$2.25Dec 31, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 31?$22.69Dec 31, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?$31.94Dec 30, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.68Dec 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?$25.00Dec 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?$1.00Dec 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 29?$28.69Dec 29, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 29?$20.00Dec 29, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".