Elaborate-Influence
0xbfd69dd9b9720994b430ca7c2f0d39320bddbab3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-192.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
199 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?
183 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?
160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 28?
146 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 on April 19?
145 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 24?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?
120 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 12-18?
116 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 19?
110 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- UTSA ROADRUNNERS
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers
106 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$80.17Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$68.06Jul 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$9.70Jul 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?$1.28Jul 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 7?$1.56Jul 6, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$90.69Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$88.51Jun 3, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?$1.18Jun 1, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$71.53May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$70.03May 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$78.67May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$76.31May 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$2.90May 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.70May 10, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?$22.21May 7, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 20?$0.00Apr 30, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on April 19?$2.34Apr 20, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$75.62Apr 17, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMKent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zips$0.00Apr 10, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?$0.00Mar 31, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $26.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.