Twin-Fairy
0xbfd9148346b26032d731c5cfa007c0bddf4b9ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$19.92
Total PnL
$0.95
Realised
$-0.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- GREECE
Spread: Italy (-1.5)
18 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$18.00
$1.62
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 93.3¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.96
$0.03
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.95
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Italy (-1.5)$16.42Jun 7, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)$17.00Jun 7, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1 - 0 SC Delhi?$17.00Jun 7, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)$15.51May 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1 - 0 SC Delhi?$15.35May 21, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)$10.00May 21, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)$17.00May 21, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)$9.12May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)$16.01May 7, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0.00Mar 27, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.17Mar 21, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.38Mar 21, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.49Mar 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.07Mar 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.52Mar 20, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$567.25Mar 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$71.63Mar 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$638.22Mar 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$16.73Mar 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$5.18Mar 20, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $175.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.