Outlying-Casualty
0xbfddae4903a48fbe22c84ad3e456b1143be6bf3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.39
Total PnL
$0.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.08
$1.08
- NO
Will Trump say "Dog" in June?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.00Jun 2, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Jun 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.07Jun 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.05Jun 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dog" in June?$1.03Jun 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week?$1.03Jun 2, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".