Wallet digest

active

Activity score

38/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-16.7K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3506 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.8K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
3506 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.8K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
3506 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.8K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
3505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.8K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3504 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.8K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1753 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-876.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1753 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-876.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1753 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-876.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1752 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-876.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1752 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-876.00

Recent activity

REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.00Mar 28, 02:43 UTC
TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$5.99Feb 6, 02:14 UTC
REDEEMWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.01Feb 6, 02:12 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 11, 11:46 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$3.5KDec 11, 11:46 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity8 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk47 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 1
Avg trade size: $5.99
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 11, 11:16 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 02:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:41:24 UTC·src:Polymarket Data