Stale-Commission
0xbfe194a349eb917efb01d803d0fa68e31d86ef2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.87
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.10
$0.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 12?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
1235 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-605.30
- ENCE
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
689 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
344 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
98 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.42
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
6 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 12?$3.00May 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?$9.01May 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.79May 11, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$2.01May 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$7.05May 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?$2.00Apr 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 26, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?$7.79Apr 26, 12:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 29, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 27, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Mar 26, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Mar 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?$7.67Mar 23, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$3.87Mar 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$5.00Mar 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$3.56Mar 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$605.30Mar 6, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$4.95Mar 6, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMAztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.49Mar 6, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $71.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.