Constant-Hypothermia
0xbfe342b663f9585e64978c6672276b7ba860530d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-191.27
Realised
$-23.86
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2840 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-58.20
- YES
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?
350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
208 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
173 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
110 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
83 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
78 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
71 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
35 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$21.02May 6, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.07May 6, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.14May 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$31.30May 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$48.34May 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$25.96May 5, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Lebanon in March?$25.63Mar 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.53Mar 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon in March?$17.60Mar 3, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$17.60Mar 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$49.97Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET$10.00Jan 18, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET$1.95Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET$0.99Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET$2.96Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET$0.01Jan 18, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.