0xbfe682b21d2561ab40e65115fa1372bc6d521bfa
0xbfe682b21d2561ab40e65115fa1372bc6d521bfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$16.15
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
0%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
1772 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.52
$0.89
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
488 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.63
$1.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 23?
101536 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-208.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?
89129 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-157.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 18?
83511 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-118.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 19?
59284 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?
56747 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-85.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 19?
54707 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-106.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 23?
53188 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-113.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 19?
51783 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-94.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?$9.02Apr 28, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 26?$12.67Apr 28, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 26?$41.80Apr 28, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 27?$35.15Apr 28, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?$76.68Apr 28, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 27?$14.25Apr 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?$6.54Apr 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$10.00Apr 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?$10.00Apr 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?$10.00Apr 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.58Apr 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$9.42Apr 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?$10.00Apr 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.58Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.68Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.57Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.53Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.50Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.51Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25?$0.66Apr 26, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.