Short-Intentionality
0xbfef6e6cee1bfff8e437494ffc77c39319cdbafb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$54.87
Total PnL
$25.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$45.45
$25.45
- NO
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.14
$0.14
- NO
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$3.00Sep 3, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?$20.00Sep 3, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Sep 3, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?$4.00Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?$4.01Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.03Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?$5.33Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$15.02Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$1.00Sep 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$15.00May 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?$4.00May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?$4.00May 10, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.00May 10, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on May 31?$5.00May 1, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donovan Mitchell win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$0.00May 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or higher on April 4?$2.00May 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?$3.02May 1, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 625-649 times March 28 - April 4?$4.00May 1, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?$3.00Apr 2, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or higher on April 4?$2.00Apr 2, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".