Valuable-Pray
0xbff34d923a26e9042a5be6ba4b8671162ab4d6fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.22
Realised
$-4.11
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?
1004 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?
4 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 29?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 11?$4.24Jun 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?$2.29Jun 11, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?$4.48Jun 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?$3.20Jun 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?$4.82Jun 11, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11?$4.91Jun 10, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 11?$4.26Jun 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11?$4.83Jun 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?$5.11Jun 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?$4.97Jun 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10?$3.98Jun 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?$5.59Jun 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 10?$4.33Jun 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 10?$4.63Jun 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10?$5.03Jun 10, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?$5.33Jun 10, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 9?$0.15Jun 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 9?$4.54Jun 9, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 9?$5.11Jun 9, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 9?$4.14Jun 9, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.