Motherly-Louse
0xbff4577b5c239cc830807a7b3c79f719aecafb4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-43.81
Win rate
44%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
6000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
1438 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
292 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-141.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
165 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
154 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
137 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
135 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
134 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$13.19Jul 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.77Jul 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$6.10Jul 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$10.99Jul 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.03Jul 20, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$3.04Jul 20, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$3.06Jul 20, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.05Jul 20, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$18.02Jul 20, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.03Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.78Jul 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.11Jul 20, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.