Sophisticated-Compliance-Bricklaying
0xbff5969a7c7ceacdf765d5e10f4273e9716d655b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$543.39
Total PnL
$-487.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1556 shares @ 12.8¢·now 10.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.62
$-30.38
- YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-21?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$99.37
$79.37
- NO
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$0.00
- BOSTON RED SOX
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$19.82
$-0.18
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$19.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
248 shares @ 8.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.63
$-1.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$20.50Jul 22, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$20.45Jul 22, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-21?$20.81Jul 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$20.43Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$37.04Jul 21, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$30.30Jul 21, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$33.33Jul 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$20.46Jul 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$20.34Jul 20, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$20.40Jul 20, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$164.86Jul 20, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$31.25Jul 19, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-18?$60.18Jul 19, 03:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$0.00Jul 18, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$37.74Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$11.00Jul 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$182.97Jul 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$20.36Jul 18, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $44.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.