Sympathetic-Hunting-Drawbridge
0xbff7fc3f4f2ba897778a393257a103d25161f111
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-170.74
Realised
$-23.47
Win rate
0%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?
5730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 8?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?
2990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?
2870 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?
2705 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 14?
2520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?
2010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?
1955 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?$3.02Aug 7, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?$2.00Aug 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?$5.02Aug 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?$4.01Aug 1, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$7.57Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?$3.90Jul 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?$3.99Jul 26, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?$2.14Jul 26, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$2.49Jul 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$3.20Jul 24, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?$1.78Jul 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 17?$1.07Jul 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$1.07Jul 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?$1.07Jul 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?$0.53Jul 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 14?$2.70Jul 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?$1.82Jul 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 10?$0.77Jul 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 10?$2.14Jul 10, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 10?$1.77Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
45 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.